A lot can change now until November, but the main point I would push back against Mehlhorn's belief that the race is essentially "tied" is he's looking at national polls and not swing states. Biden may very well win the popular vote nationally, but looking at polls in Wisconsin, Nevada, Arizona and Georgia, it is not looking good for him…
A lot can change now until November, but the main point I would push back against Mehlhorn's belief that the race is essentially "tied" is he's looking at national polls and not swing states. Biden may very well win the popular vote nationally, but looking at polls in Wisconsin, Nevada, Arizona and Georgia, it is not looking good for him. Biden loses those states and it's essentially over. That's not even including Pennsylvania, which recent polls also lean Trump, and Biden barely won in 2020.
Biden's "comfortable" Electoral College win in 2020 is a bit misleading since the margins in those aforementioned states were so small. Do you think people like Biden more now than then? That's a hell of a thing to believe.
Anyways, it doesn't even address the fact the Democrats can't field a candidate that can comfortably defeat Trump. I think that's very damning for the party as whole in of itself.
Yes, if Dmitri Mehlhorn is right that Biden will hearken to the polls, then bad swing state polls, together with serious pressure from fellow party members in great fear of suffering disastrous losses in the election, could well be the thing that will catch the conscience of the king.
And Yes too, we do need a candidate who can beat Trump comfortably -- more like a strong candidate who can beat Trump soundly -- by reminding us of who we are at our best and like JFK motivating us to work together to do what we need to do to meet the huge challenges facing us at home and 'round the world.
I don't think Joe is capable of being such a candidate, not in the midst of recklessly ramping up the risk of nuclear war by authorizing Ukraine to strike Russia with U.S. weapons in order to stave off defeat before our election, and of getting NATO to back him in so doing, and in the midst of continuing to team up with Israel in committing genocide in Gaza and the West Bank even as he purportedly calls for a ceasefire -- and I doubt whether his loyal VP is capable of being such a candidate either.
OTOH, I do have some hope that Gretchen Whitmer can and will emerge as such a candidate, together with whomever she wants as her VP, if we give her a chance to do so.
A lot can change now until November, but the main point I would push back against Mehlhorn's belief that the race is essentially "tied" is he's looking at national polls and not swing states. Biden may very well win the popular vote nationally, but looking at polls in Wisconsin, Nevada, Arizona and Georgia, it is not looking good for him. Biden loses those states and it's essentially over. That's not even including Pennsylvania, which recent polls also lean Trump, and Biden barely won in 2020.
Biden's "comfortable" Electoral College win in 2020 is a bit misleading since the margins in those aforementioned states were so small. Do you think people like Biden more now than then? That's a hell of a thing to believe.
Anyways, it doesn't even address the fact the Democrats can't field a candidate that can comfortably defeat Trump. I think that's very damning for the party as whole in of itself.
Yes, if Dmitri Mehlhorn is right that Biden will hearken to the polls, then bad swing state polls, together with serious pressure from fellow party members in great fear of suffering disastrous losses in the election, could well be the thing that will catch the conscience of the king.
And Yes too, we do need a candidate who can beat Trump comfortably -- more like a strong candidate who can beat Trump soundly -- by reminding us of who we are at our best and like JFK motivating us to work together to do what we need to do to meet the huge challenges facing us at home and 'round the world.
I don't think Joe is capable of being such a candidate, not in the midst of recklessly ramping up the risk of nuclear war by authorizing Ukraine to strike Russia with U.S. weapons in order to stave off defeat before our election, and of getting NATO to back him in so doing, and in the midst of continuing to team up with Israel in committing genocide in Gaza and the West Bank even as he purportedly calls for a ceasefire -- and I doubt whether his loyal VP is capable of being such a candidate either.
OTOH, I do have some hope that Gretchen Whitmer can and will emerge as such a candidate, together with whomever she wants as her VP, if we give her a chance to do so.